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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Paul Cox

Team: Little Sutton BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

822

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

13

Matches Played

8

Wins

5

Losses

62%

Win Rate

9.5

Avg Win Margin

5.0

Avg Loss Margin

4-2

Home Record

4-3

Away Record

16%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
13 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/13/2026

Only 13 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 13 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 May5 May26 May25 Jun16 Jul30 Jul13 Aug-125811

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
62%
score+0.23→contribution+0.08
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
9.5
score+0.25→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.0
score+0.50→contribution+0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
62%
score+0.23→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
804
score+0.02→contribution+0.00
Weighted Score+0.244
Sample Size Confidence
16%(13/33 matches)
Rating1097 → shrunk 1015→ adjusted 823
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)818
Recency Blend17% (13 recent matches)
Final Rating822
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

8W5L13 matches·61.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Little Sutton B2026Division C117463.6%
Little Sutton2025Division C21150%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/13/2026Harry LucasA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
8/4/2026James SlatteryA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision C
7/30/2026Georgina MiddlemasA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/21/2026Stephen EasdownH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/16/2026John BonifaceA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/30/2026Karl RobinsonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/25/2026Colin Wolfarth ***A19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/23/2026Alan WilsonH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision C
5/26/2026Leslie SilcockH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026Tommy BrownA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/5/2026Lucas FarragherH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
7/15/2025Frank HoeyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/21/2025vs Bromborough Social ClubA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWLW
Last 1060% win rate↑ improving
WWWLWLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Harry Lucas101100%8/13/2026
James Slattery101100%8/4/2026
Georgina Middlemas101100%7/30/2026
Stephen Easdown0110%7/21/2026
John Boniface101100%7/16/2026
Karl Robinson0110%6/30/2026
Colin Wolfarth ***0110%6/25/2026
Alan Wilson101100%6/23/2026
Leslie Silcock101100%5/26/2026
Tommy Brown0110%5/19/2026
Biggest Win
Alan Wilson (+18)6/23/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-12)5/21/2025
Best Season
202664% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202664% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
67% → 57%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
76811 known · 2 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
8-373% win rate
Division C61.5%
8W·5L·13 played

Debut

May 21, 2025

Latest

Aug 13, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

6.5 (13 total)

Seasons

20252026